Captain's Quarters Blog

« He's Not Ronery | Main | Can Syria Be Saved? »

July 23, 2006
Hamas Ready To Give In?

According to Haaretz, Hamas wants to cut its losses and get out of the current war. Reportedly unhappy with Hezbollah's amplification of Israeli rage, local Hamas leadership has agreed in principle to return Gilad Shalit now for consideration of future releases of Palestinian prisoners, and will agree to a mutual cease-fire to seal the deal:

Senior Fatah sources in Gaza said on Saturday Hamas is ready to accept a deal that involves freeing abducted soldier Gilad Shalit, a joint cease-fire and an end to IDF actions in the Gaza Strip.

What is not clear is whether Khaled Meshal, the Hamas leader in Damascus, will sanction the Egyptian-brokered deal.

The initiative, proposed by Egypt and discussed by Palestinian leaders in Gaza in the last few days, consists of freeing Gilad Shalit, a joint cease-fire and the cessation of the IDF's assassinations in the Gaza Strip and freeing Palestinian prisoners later on.

The deal also includes understandings to set up a national unity government.

This expands on the reporting from yesterday, which only discussed a unilateral cease-fire. This represents a major concession from Hamas and an acceptance of the Israeli refusal to release prisoners in exchange for hostages. Olmert's military incursion and refusals to negotiate have finally made it clear that Israel has changed its policy in that regard.

It also appears to open a split between worldwide Hamas leadership based in Damascus and Hamas in the territories. Khaled Mashaal wanted no negotiation on the demands set at the beginning by his people; he wanted a lopsided prisoner swap to undermine Olmert. Instead, Olmert called his bluff, and Mashaal's the one who may lose a substantial amount of influence as a result.

Hamas does get one key concession from this deal, but from Fatah, not Israel. Ismail Haniyeh has tried to get Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas to join a unity government in order to allow for better foreign relations. Most Western countries refuse to send aid to Hamas, and the Palestinian economy had collapsed even before the Gaza incursion. Haniyeh got Abbas to agree to the new government, and that could mean a restoration of aid from Europe and possibly the US.

If this plays out as reported, Olmert will have won one war of nerves. He will then be able to concentrate forces on Hezbollah currently used in Gaza and have more leverage to win the other war as well. (via TMV)

Sphere It Digg! View blog reactions
Posted by Ed Morrissey at July 23, 2006 5:17 AM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry is

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Hamas Ready To Give In?:

» Diplomacy and the Hounds of Hell, Part VI from A Blog For All
Terrorist groups claim victory by getting the release of hundreds of prisoners from Israeli jails in exchange for the remains of a single Israeli soldier who was murdered by Palestinian terrorists. They claim victory simply by continuing to exist. Ha... [Read More]

Tracked on July 23, 2006 9:09 AM

» 'Hezbollah Runs Lebanon' And 'Hamas Ready To Cut A Deal' from All Things Beautiful
Not in a single interview did I hear PM Saniora condemn Hezbollah, only repeating that they are a necessity created solely as a result of Israeli 'aggression'. No mention of their genocidal goal, the destruction of Israel, which they share of course wi... [Read More]

Tracked on July 23, 2006 9:44 AM

» Hezbollah and Lebanon from Polarman
Captain Ed says that Hamas may be ready to give in. I see this as a encouraging sign. Other observers feel that it's just a move to allow them to restock and rearm. The optimist in me says that if [Read More]

Tracked on July 23, 2006 10:15 AM

» Hezbollah and Lebanon from Polarman
Hamas may be ready to give in. I see this as a encouraging sign. Other observers feel that it's just a move to allow them to restock and rearm. [Read More]

Tracked on July 23, 2006 10:47 AM

» Israel vs. Hamas: Is Hamas Blinking? from Cross-Currents
From Ha’Aretz: According to reports Sunday, the Hamas leadership in Gaza is ready to halt Qassam fire as part of a cease-fire deal that would involve an end to IDF action in the Gaza Strip. Senior members of Fatah made similar claims Saturday.... [Read More]

Tracked on July 23, 2006 7:48 PM

» Lots Of Fighting, Little Change from Hard Starboard
On the long-forgotten Gaza front, the political front-men of Hamas can no longer hide the fact that they were figureheads all along for the terror gang's true leader, Khaled Mashaal, in Hamas' true capital, Damascus. Small wonder, then, that they're ... [Read More]

Tracked on July 25, 2006 1:38 AM


Design & Skinning by:
m2 web studios

blog advertising


Proud Ex-Pat Member of the Bear Flag League!